On the Eve of Escalation


New strikes on Iran tonight, from WSJ:

The assault follows comments by Trump playing down the possibility of a return to war with Iran after Tuesday’s midterm elections.

“We had a war with Iran. We won,” Trump told reporters Monday. “I don’t know if you even call it a war because we haven’t been doing any fighting for months.”

But the U.S. has been engaged in smaller-scale strikes against Iran for several weeks, officials said, with explosions reported around Qeshm island on Monday on social media. Some of the officials described the assaults as defensive in nature to prevent Iran from having the freedom to attack commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz.

Unlike earlier in the war, the U.S. hasn’t publicly announced the attacks.

The U.S. has been purposefully keeping the campaign quiet so as not to signal any intention of resuming major combat operations, one official said.

Assertions that no major escalation will take place post-election are, in my mind, not credible.

 

This entry was posted on by Menzie Chinn.



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